Under climate change, winners and losers on the coral reef

Posted By News On April 12, 2012 - 4:31pm

As ocean temperatures rise, some species of corals are likely to succeed at the expense of others, according to a report published online on April 12 in the Cell Press journal Current Biology that details the first large-scale investigation of climate effects on corals.

"The good news is that, rather than experiencing wholesale destruction, many coral reefs will survive climate change by changing the mix of coral species as the ocean warms and becomes more acidic," said Terry Hughes of James Cook University in Australia. "That's important for people who rely on the rich and beautiful coral reefs of today for food, tourism, and other livelihoods."

In an attempt to understand the sorts of changes that may take place as the world's oceans warm, the researchers examined the coral composition of reefs along the entire length of Australia's Great Barrier Reef. Earlier studies of climate change and corals have been done on a much smaller geographical scale, with a primary focus on total coral cover or counts of species as rather crude indicators of reef health.

"We chose the iconic Great Barrier Reef as our natural laboratory because water temperature varies by 8 to 9 degrees Celsius along its full length from summer to winter, and because there are wide local variations in pH," Hughes explained. "Its regional-scale natural gradients encompass the sorts of conditions that will apply several decades from now under business-as-usual greenhouse gas emissions."

In total, the researchers identified and measured more than 35,000 coral colonies on 33 reefs. Their survey revealed surprising flexibility in the assembly of corals. As they saw one species decline in abundance, some other species would tend to rise. The waxing or waning of any given coral species the researchers observed as they moved along the coastline occurred independently of changes to other coral species.

Hughes concludes that corals' response to climate change is likely to be more complicated than many had thought. Although he now believes that rising temperatures are unlikely to mean the end of the coral reef, critical issues remain.

"If susceptible table and branching species are replaced by mound-shaped corals, it would leave fewer nooks and crannies where fish shelter and feed," he said. "Coral reefs are also threatened by much more local impacts, especially by pollution and overfishing. We need to address all of the threats, including climate change, to give coral reefs a fighting chance for the future."

Source: Cell Press

There have been several series of studies predicting destruction of the reef over the years; Crown of Thorns, beginning about(1981), Sedimentation/nutrient enrichment (1987), Chemical pollution/oil spills(1987), Overfishing/harvesting/live trade (1992), Ocean warming, coral bleaching, sea level rise (1983), and Ocean acidification (2002). Each series of studies has generated many papers and attracted much funding. All predicted obliteration of the GBR, all were wrong. All focussed on a single specific factor, not considering other ecological influences (balance).
The GBR (group of some 3000+ individual reefs) has been in existence andin various forms and locations (depending on sea level) for many hundreds of thousands of years. It has evolved and adapted to many changes in environmental conditions to achieve its present form. It will more than likely do so again.
I am pleased that Terry Hughes and collegues at JCU are finally taking a more holistic approacch to studying coral ecology and finally dispelling the 'doom and gloom' propaganda.
As Prof. Hughes and collegues have pointed out the reef will adapt. Some species will decline others will flourish.
Having said that. I do believe the GBR is still under threat.
This threat is that of exploitation by the most destructive species on the planet, homo 'economicus'. This exploitaion is being conducted by several sectors; tourism, mining, fishing.
I believe to minimise our (destructive) footprint on the GBR we actually need to keep away from it for commercial gain.

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