Affordable Care Act of 2010 and the cost of adding 15 million twenty-somethings

Young adults continue to represent one of the largest groups of Americans without health insurance, with nearly 15 million people aged 19-29 uninsured in 2009—an increase of more than 1 million over 2008, according to a Commonwealth Fund report released today. However, the Affordable Care Act (ACA) is poised to make a significant difference for this population, as up to 12.1 million could gain subsidized insurance once all of the law's provisions go into effect in 2014.

Subsidized is the key word. Young people as a demographic are the least likely to need health insurance and could use that money for more pressing short-term goals but forcing them to buy insurance, forcing taxpayers to subsidize it or forcing the employers of their parents to now carry adults who can vote and drink on their parents' plans, won't come without a considerable cost.

The report by the Commonwealth Fund, an advocacy group lobbying for nationalized health care, called "Realizing Health Reform's Potential: Young Adults and the Affordable Care Act of 2010", was written by Sara Collins and Jennifer Nicholson, and is an update of a May 2010 report, with new numbers reflecting the latest data on the number of uninsured Americans released by the U.S. Census Bureau last month.

According to the report, by 2014, when most of the bill's provisions will have taken effect, up to 7.2 million uninsured young adults will gain coverage through Medicaid expansions and up to 4.9 million will gain subsidized private coverage through new insurance exchanges. About 1 million uninsured young adults up to age 26 are projected to join their parents' policies beginning in 2010. The report estimates that 1.8 million uninsured young adults are not legal residents and will not be eligible for federally subsidized health insurance under the new law.

The authors conclude that, "when fully implemented, the ACA will allow young adults of all income levels to undergo a new rite of passage: establishing necessary ties with the health care system, without fear of accumulating medical debt, as they pursue their educational and career goals."